I'm trying to place a best guess estimate as to whether C2DM messages can be received.
I've created an application that relies on pushing information to a phone while it is physically inaccessible. I understand that C2DM isn't guaranteed delivery, but I'd at least like to know when the delivery of a message is even possible; when it isn't we fall back to our own push service (and can actually tell when we're connected).
I've noticed C2DM on android will still issue auth tokens even when there is not a logged in google account; messages still seem to be delivered in this instance even though it's stated that they shouldn't be. If GTalk isn't connected (firewall or other reasons), no response at all is returned when requesting an auth token. Auth tokens are returned to the application when the phone is in airplane mode. This means it's not as simple as checking if an internet is available. I can't find a reliable way of checking if GTalk is logged in.
Again, I don't need to guarantee the delivery of messages, but I'd at least like to know if delivery is even possible. Does anyone have interesting solutions?